4th October 2022| Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Journalism in Britain is under threat. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. @britainelects. The headline data used in calculating these averages has been drawn from that laid out in the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Opinium, Survation, SavantaComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Techne, Delta Poll,and Ipsos Mori. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. YouGov poll, reported in the Telegraph on 31 Jan 2023Full results, The Times poll, conducted by YouGov, reported on 21 Jan 2023, Wings Over Scotland/The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 19 Dec 2022: Why do SNP voters hate women?, The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 17 Dec 2022, The Times poll, reported on 16 Oct 2022Full results. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techme (10 February) which placed Labour on 47%, the Conservatives on 26%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. At 64 per cent, those respondents most likely to lean towards voting Green at the next election were also most likely to say that they support the GRR bill and that the UK Governments veto was wrong. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" Poll reveals impact of Nicola Sturgeon's resignation on voting and independence. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. "Yes to an independent Scotland", "No to an independent Scotland", "I will not vote" and "I am not registered to vote" were the options given. Prior to the collapse in Conservative polling in 2022, it was suggested that equalising constituencies may assist the Conservatives by as many as 10 seats, given that the partys seats in the south of England are currently numerically larger than those found elsewhere in the country. independence? Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. In the case of Wales, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the most recent YouGov poll produced on 27 February. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. Please check you have typed it correctly. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "Do you agree that Scotland should become an independent country?" Automotive. US ; About ; For business ; . It was one of the biggest news stories of our. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. Inside Labour's battle to retake Scotland as party warned not to 'count chickens too soon', Public mental health is the true measure of political success. The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. This includes a majority of those who agree the people should be freely able to express their transgender identity. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . /Which party are you most inclined to support? Charities & not-for-profit. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. That's according to a new YouGov poll commissioned by WalesOnline to mark St David's Day 2023. . Jeremy Corbyn is not allowed to stand as a Labour MP at the next election would he still get your vote? Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. A YouGov poll for the Times, reported today, found that nearly 50% of voters in Scotland who plan to vote Tory are doing so primarily to prevent a pro-independence majority in Holyrood. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. The poll, commissioned by WalesOnline has found support for the Tories in Wales now sits at just 19%. Redfield and Wilton (5 February) which placed Labour on 50%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 10%. Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Question asked. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. Could Labour Profit From Nicola Sturgeons Resignation? However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . Company number: SC669393. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Scottish independence. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. Four in ten Scottish voters want Nicola Sturgeon to resign, new poll suggests, Four in 10 Scots think Sturgeon should stand down, poll finds, Nicola Sturgeon opinion poll finds more than three-quarters of Scots think she should go, First Minister of Scotland: Runners and riders. : medium.com. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. What has happened to the once-great British Airways? It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. A Y That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. About; Social . In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, Politics.co.uk has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. The leader of the SNP has insisted her party was "not divided". You can unsubscribe whenever you want. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . All Rights Reserved. The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. The previous YouGov covered the 23rd - 26th of January. The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. Humza Yousaf takes the lead as SNP members swing behind Nicola Sturgeon's man, The 'worst health secretary in the history of devolution' is just ahead of his rivals in the SNP leadership contest, although a third of Nat members still don't know who to vote for, Ian Blackford 'looking forward' to end of police probe into SNP's 'murky' finances as he dodges Peter Murrell question. We don't have an account for this email address. A YouGov poll published this morning (2 March) makes encouraging reading for the Prime Minister. If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: Dates. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. Scottish election 2021: Polling expert says SNP majority 'on a knife-edge' Small movements in the polls between now and May 6 could make an "important difference to the outcome", according to . Since you are here, we wanted to ask for your help. The poll also showed a reversal on the independence question over past month, with support for secession down from 53 per cent to 47 per cent among those expressing a view the lowest since last spring. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. Although it is only a relatively small Scottish sample (148 people out of 1702 polled in total across the UK), the results would see 23 Nats lose their seats to leave them with 25 MPs. First Minister of Scotland: Runners and Riders. This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 10:18. Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Five missions focused on fixing the fundamentals, says Starmer ahead of major speech, The decline and fall of the one nation Conservative. Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. The majority of people believe that a doctors approval should be needed for a person to change their sex in law. CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. By clicking 'Sign in and Subscribe' you agree to us subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. Gender Recognition Act, Tags: Gender Recognition Act, Gender Recognition Reform, Panelbase, poll, survey. Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here . July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. Question Asked "Imagine the next Westminster Election was a de facto referendum on Scottish Independence If the Westminster Election was taking place tomorrow, and there was a candidate from all political parties standing in your constituency, which party do you think you would vote for? Brexit and Scottish Independence are a consequence of failure, not a cause, The SNPs goal is, and always will be, purely independence, says Mhairi Black, Blocking Scottish gender bill is no affront to devolution, Week-in-Review: Gender reforms will focus Sturgeons independence push, Sturgeon doubles down after Supreme Court snubbing, Scottish government cannot call indy vote without UK government consent, Supreme Court rules, Sustainable shooting key to governments nature recovery plans, Press release: Shootings role outlined to the new Welsh parliament, Liz Truss says she would use nuclear warfare, Hidden history: The Nazi-Soviet pact which Russia now tries to deny, The bigotry of Ukip is swamping the Conservative party, Very quietly, the coalition tries to dismantle judicial review, Comment: Anti-porn laws allow police to target those they don't like, Ambulance unions approached for pay talks after GMB tightens derogations, Reticulated giraffe heads to London Zoo before big breeding programme move, IRC Statement on IDC Report into UK Aid spend by the Home Office, Corporation tax is the tool to incentivise net zero, Trees: most accurate data yet shows glaring disparity in tree cover across England. Copyright 1997 - 2023 NewsNow Publishing Limited. Scotlands Political Landscape After Nicola Sturgeon? Yahoo News / YouGov polls . Should religious people be allowed to hold top political jobs? The poll for the Sun found. With Labour improving its polling position in Scotand, the party would now gain 12 seats off the SNP in Scotland, albeit the SNP would mitigate those losses slightly by gaining three seats from the Conservatives and one from the Lib Dems. Majority of people support NEU teacher strikes, YouGov poll finds Dorset Live 14:59 6-Feb-23. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. excludes 16 and 17 year-olds and did not ascertain likelihood to vote. Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . should not be a referendum on Scottish Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds. However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. The Boundary Commission is currently in the midst of a review designed to better equalise constituency sizes. Click to get a sign-in link sent to your email. The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view?
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